科学｜台風ラッシュの可能性についての解説 / Science | Explanation on the Possibility of a Typhoon Surge

Summary

This summer, there is a possibility that typhoons will be more active than usual.

Although the formation of Typhoon No. 1 has been delayed, it is expected that precipitation levels will be around normal or even higher in eastern and western Japan. In particular, due to persistently high sea temperatures, there is concern that more typhoons may form between July and August. Historical data shows that in years when typhoon formation was delayed, there has been a tendency for a concentration of typhoons. A notable example is in 2016, when three typhoons made landfall in Hokkaido, significantly impacting agricultural crops.

Dialogue

This dialogue is fictional and based on the article.

Chako: Hey Log, I wonder what this year’s typhoons will be like? It seems like Typhoon No. 1 is delayed.
Log: Yeah, they say there’s a high possibility of more active typhoons this year. Especially from July to August, we might see more of them.
Chako: I see! But is it really okay that Typhoon No. 1 is delayed?
Navi: Even if Typhoon No. 1 is delayed, it’s believed it won’t have a significant impact on the overall number of typhoons for the year. Historical data shows that in years with delays, typhoons often cluster together, so we need to stay alert.

Admin’s Note

It’s impressive to see analyses of this year’s typhoon season based on data from years when typhoons developed later than usual. In particular, the possibility that rising sea temperatures could influence the intensification of typhoons will likely be an important factor in future weather predictions. Considering past instances, I feel it’s crucial to prepare for potential impacts, especially on agricultural products in Hokkaido. I would like to keep an eye on future developments.